January 19, 2010
I confess, folks; my mind just hasn't been on anime the last couple of days. Today I watched a few episodes of Nanoha A's, but what I really wanted was for enough time to pass so that the polls in Massachusetts closed and vote counting could begin there.
Now it has. I've been watching the main page of NRO; they're keeping an up-to-date count of the vote. It started with Brown ahead and he's been ahead ever since, but when I looked just now it was only 13% of the total.
However, as others have noted, the real indicator on this election was that various Democrats started blaming each other for the loss before the polls closed.
Equally, before the polls closed they were partying at the Brown HQ, and the Coakley HQ was like a mausoleum.
I might watch some anime this evening to waste time while waiting for more votes to come in.
I posted about the makings of a good conspiracy theory over at Hot Air this afternoon, but it looks like events are conspiring to prevent me from putting on the tin-foil hat.
I had this image of some closeted Brown supporter at the Globe realizing that the fix was in, and "accidentally" posting the result too soon in order to make it impossible for the Dems to cheat... Sounds like something out of a Hollywood pot-boiler, doesn't it?
Well, no, because if it was Hollywood it would be the evil Republicans trying to steal the election, and a virtuous good-hearted Democrat who spoiled the game...
I'm gonna leave comments open on this. Don't make me regret it, please.
UPDATE: They're counting 'em fast. 47% and he's still in the lead.
UPDATE: 70% and he still has a considerable lead. Word is, Coakley has called Brown and conceded.
UPDATE: The NYT has called it for Brown. And they're the newspaper of Democratic Record, right?
84% reporting now. Brown has been maintaining a 6 percentage point lead for the last hour.
UPDATE: Coakley won 84% of the vote in Provincetown. I wonder how many of those were Sully? (Who isn't a citizen...)
UPDATE: With 97% reporting, Brown is 1135249 votes, Coakley 1018272, and Kennedy 21657.
It is now mathematically impossible for Coakley to win. 67,000 votes yet uncounted and Brown's winning margin is twice that.
UPDATE: If you want to really bathe in schadenfreude, check out this Metafilter thread.
Overall, quite a pleasing development. I'd like to read it as a general repudiation of Obama policies, but at least at some level it also reflects on Coakley just being a poor candidate with big skeletons in her closet. Still, a victory's a victory, and I wish Brown well.
Posted by: Avatar_exADV at January 19, 2010 06:35 PM (pWQz4)
There's no doubt that Coakley and her team ran just about the most inept campaign in recent record. but that isn't enough to explain this.
Posted by: Steven Den Beste at January 19, 2010 06:41 PM (+rSRq)
For the longest time, I thought the Republicans had scored a major victory by forcing the Democrats and their allies to spend major money (To the tune of $1.4 million from the DSCC alone - how many other Senates races that might have helped?) to keep the Ted Kennedy's seat. I never, even in my wildest dream, expected my hope of a 'sinkhole' for Democrat resources to turn into a Scott Brown victory.
Yes, it is time for the adult beverages...
Posted by: cxt217 at January 19, 2010 06:42 PM (E5GIs)
I don't think it will happen. There's enough Dems with half a brain to put a stop to that scheme. So drink up, me hearties! Arrrrrrrr!
Posted by: ubu at January 19, 2010 06:47 PM (moT2P)
Posted by: Steven Den Beste at January 19, 2010 06:49 PM (+rSRq)
Here's that report about the Mass SecState.
Given the magnitude of this stunning upset, I'm not sure I believe that even the Dems are stupid enough to try playing games with this, such as challenging it in court, or asking for a recount, or making claims about voting fraud. This is clearly a voter repudiation of the way the Dems have been behaving recently, and trying to nullify it that way risks turning a bloody nose into a broken neck.
Senator Webb (D-Va) has already publicly stated that the Senate should seat Brown as soon as possible.
Tomorrow Obama delivers his State of the Union Address to Congress. The Republicans will then deliver their response (not to Congress). I'm willing to give big odds that they'll let Brown do it, which will put him even more into the national eye than he already is. If, after that, Reid and his gang play all kinds of games to delay seating him, it could turn into a constitutional crisis. In the end, there are too many Democratic senators who are now feeling a cold wind on their necks who would refuse to support such shenanigans.
Posted by: Steven Den Beste at January 19, 2010 07:49 PM (+rSRq)
Posted by: Doyen at January 19, 2010 08:25 PM (GTo9u)
Posted by: Cybrludite at January 19, 2010 10:40 PM (GDpMq)
Posted by: J Greely at January 20, 2010 08:33 AM (2XtN5)
Posted by: Pete Zaitcev at January 20, 2010 10:29 AM (/ppBw)
Last time I looked it, DC residents did not pay federal income tax - which might explain why they only have a (supposedly) non-voting delegate to the House of Representatives.
I mean, you can always find someone, in any field that is about to wopped, who will vote with the people about let loose the rope to the gullotine blade. It would take a really, really bad thing to drive away, for example, staff officers the Pentagon hoping to be on the next promotion list to general officer from helping to write up a paper on a new anti-terrorism strategy in Afghanistan for Joe Biden and not have only his staff develop it...
...Well, maybe something can be bad enough that nobody in a field wants to touch it with a ten-foot pole. Still, that is the exception. Hopefully, Brown's victory will create more of those exceptions.
Posted by: cxt217 at January 20, 2010 01:29 PM (E5GIs)
Posted by: Steven Den Beste at January 20, 2010 03:00 PM (+rSRq)
Enclose all spoilers in spoiler tags:
[spoiler]your spoiler here[/spoiler]
Spoilers which are not properly tagged will be ruthlessly deleted on sight.
Also, I hate unsolicited suggestions and advice. (Even when you think you're being funny.)
At Chizumatic, we take pride in being incomplete, incorrect, inconsistent, and unfair. We do all of them deliberately.
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