July 06, 2008

California fires

After San Diego nearly burned down last year, and much of LA too, it almost seemed as if there wasn't anything left in California to burn.

But there is. There's one big fire I've been following that scares the hell out of me. They're calling it the Basin Complex:

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As I write this, it's 69,000 acres and only 5% contained. In other words, it's just shy of 280 square kilometers and still growing.

I just found this news article about that fire. Turns out there's a million standing dead oak trees in that area, victims of a fungus. Most of them have been dead for at least a year, so there's been plenty of time (and hot, dry weather) for the wood to dry out.

They were beginning to gain control over the fire. Then a brush fire near Santa Barbara flared up, and the Forest Service had to pull a bunch of firefighters out and send them south.

Now the Basin Complex has burned an area comparable in size to the heavily populated part of south Bay, and it ain't over yet. Will they be able to stop it before it reaches Monterey? I dunno, but if I lived in Monterey, I'd be mighty nervous right about now.

Posted by: Steven Den Beste in Weird World at 10:41 PM | Comments (7) | Add Comment
Post contains 211 words, total size 2 kb.

1 Looking at their Google Earth overlay, I suspect the folks in Carmel Valley are in much worse shape than Monterey. Just from driving around in the area over the past few years, I suspect that even in the worst case, it won't go farther up the coast than Garrapata State Park. It's moister and not as overgrown as up in the hills, and the wind will blow the sparks East.

If it gets past Garrapata and reaches Point Lobos, then Monterey's in trouble. If it gets to Laguna Seca, then I start to get worried.

-j

Posted by: J Greely at July 06, 2008 11:17 PM (2XtN5)

2 If I'm not mistaken, US Forest Service had been trying to clear out the blighted trees from Western public land for over a decades.  The usual suspects have been blocking them every step of the way.  Every legal and non-legal arguments have been used.  And then they burns.

Posted by: BigFire at July 07, 2008 01:25 PM (Kwn4z)

3 Hmm, in the latest map, there seems to be a lot of action to the NW. Still 7 miles from Garrapata, but definitely moving up the coast. On the bright side, they now think they've got it 11% contained, and expect full containment by the end of July.

-j

Posted by: J Greely at July 07, 2008 02:07 PM (9Nz6c)

4

A fire like that can cover a lot of territory in three weeks.

Posted by: Steven Den Beste at July 07, 2008 02:11 PM (+rSRq)

5 California threatened by a phenomena called BASIN COMPLEX...

'Sounds like a Gainax show to me.

Posted by: The Brickmuppet at July 07, 2008 05:58 PM (V5zw/)

6 23% contained now, and no significant advance towards either Carmel Valley or Monterey. Whew!

[plenty of fingers still crossed, I'm sure]

-j

Posted by: J Greely at July 09, 2008 01:42 PM (9Nz6c)

7 It looks like they had some favorable weather (no wind) and I think they might have started a backfire.

Posted by: Steven Den Beste at July 09, 2008 02:15 PM (+rSRq)

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